2023 California housing affordability by ethnicity report (2024)

For release:
April 11, 2024

Housing affordability for all Californians deteriorates
as interest rates set record highs, C.A.R. reports

Affordability gap for Black and Hispanic/Latino households remains wide

  • Less than one in five of all Californians earned enough income to support the purchase of an $813,980 statewide median-priced home in 2023, down from just over one in five from 2022.
  • By ethnic groups, about one-fifth of White California households and less than one in 10 Black and Hispanic/Latino California households could afford the same median-priced home, while 28 percent of Asians could buy a median-priced home.
  • Assuming a 20 percent down payment on a $813,890 median-priced home, a minimum annual income of $204,800 was needed to make monthly payments of $4,190, including principal, interest, and taxes at 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at a 6.66 percent interest rate.

Multimedia:2023 Housing Affordability by Ethnicity slides
2023 Housing Affordability by Ethnicity motiongraphic

LOS ANGELES (April 11) – Housing affordability continued to deteriorate for all ethnic home-buying groups last year as interest rates rose higher and the typical mortgage payment for a median-priced home climbed from a year ago, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.

Eghteen percent of all Californians earned the minimum income needed to purchase a home in 2023, down from 21 percent in 2022. At the same time, housing affordability for White/non-Hispanic households fell from 25 percent in 2022 to 21 percent in 2023. Nine percent of Black and Hispanic/Latino households could afford the same median-priced home in 2023, down from 11 percent for both ethnic groups. The significant difference in housing affordability for Black and Hispanic/Latino households illustrates the homeownership gap and wealth disparity for communities of color, which could worsen as the economy slows and rates remain elevated in 2024. Housing affordability was better for Asians but also declined from the prior year, with the index registering 28 percent of Asian homebuyers who could afford the median-priced home in 2023, down from 32 percent in 2022, according to C.A.R.’s Housing Affordability Index.

Housing affordability gaps narrowed last year but remained wide as interest rates continued to climb while home prices stayed relatively flat. The affordability gap between Blacks and the overall population in California improved from 9.7 percentage points in 2022 to 8.5 percentage points in 2023, and the gap for Hispanics/Latinos improved from 9.6 percentage points in 2022 to 8.9 percentage points in 2023.

According to the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey, the 2022 homeownership rate for all Californians was 54 percent, 64 percent for non-Hispanic Whites, 59 percent for Asians, 45 percent for Hispanics/Latinos and 35 percent for Blacks.

With Black and Latino households having much less wealth than the national average, C.A.R. last year urged the state to fully fund the California Dream For All Shared Appreciation Loan assistance program, which provides a loan for 20 percent of the home purchase price, in the California 2023-2024 state budget. This program will help bridge down payment and closing cost hurdles that people of color often experience more acutely and allow many working Californians to get on the housing ladder and gain the benefits of homeownership.

Additionally, in an effort to address California’s growing housing affordability crisis and racial homeownership divide, C.A.R. has partnered with nonprofit housing organizations to provide closing cost grants up to $10,000 for eligible first-time home buyers from an underserved community. Since 2022, C.A.R.’s Housing Affordability Fund’s Pathway to Homeownership Closing Cost Assistance grantprogram hasprovided closing cost grants totaling $2 million for 208first-time home buyer households from an underserved communitythroughout California. By the end of 2024, C.A.R. expects to have provided a total of $3 million to more than 300 first-time home buyer households since inception of the Pathway to Homeownership Closing Cost Assistance program.

A minimum annual income of $204,800 was needed to qualify for the purchase of a $813,980 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in 2023. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $4,190, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 6.66 percent. The 2023 California median income for Whites was $103,870, $120,630 for Asians, $75,950 for Hispanics/Latinos and $63,800 for Blacks — an income gap of nearly one-third that of the overall population, which was $92,420.

C.A.R.’s Housing Affordability Index (HAI) measures the percentage of households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.

Key points from C.A.R.’s 2023 Housing Affordability by Ethnicity report include:

  • Of the major counties for which C.A.R. tracks affordability by ethnicity, the affordability gap between Black and the overall population in 2023 was the largest in Contra Costa (-15 percent), San Francisco (-15 percent) and Fresno (-13 percent) counties. Other counties that had a double-digit affordability gap for Black households include Alameda (-12 percent), Santa Clara (-10 percent) and San Mateo (-10 percent). The affordability gaps between Black and the overall population at the state and the nation were -9 percent and -14 percent, respectively.
  • For Hispanic/Latino households, the affordability gap was the biggest in Santa Clara (-11 percent), Contra Costa (-10 percent), Alameda (-9 percent) and Solano (-9 percent).The affordability gaps between Hispanic/Latino and the overall population at the state and the nation were -9 percent and -7 percent, respectively.
  • At an affordability index of 6 percent, San Francisco and San Diego were the least affordable counties for Black households, while Kern and San Joaquin were the most affordable counties at 29 percent and 24 percent, respectively.
  • The least affordable counties in 2023 for Hispanic/Latino homebuyers were Los Angeles (7 percent) and Orange County (7 percent), and the most affordable was Kern at 29 percent.
  • For Asian households, Orange County was also the least affordable, with 15 percent earning the minimum income required to buy a median-price home. Kern was the most affordable county with 55 percent of Asian households having the minimum income required to buy a median-priced home.
  • Orange County was the least affordable county for non-Hispanic White households, with 16 percent earning the minimum income required to buy a median-price home. Fresno was the most affordable at 43 percent.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 118 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 200,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

# # #

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
2023 Traditional Housing Affordability Index by Ethnicity

2023

C.A.R. Traditional Housing Affordability Index

STATE/REGION/COUNTY

All

White, Non- Hispanic

Asian

Hispanic/ Latino

Black

Median Home Price

Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance*

Minimum Qualifying Income

Calif. Single-family home

18

21

28

9

9

$813,980

$5,120

$204,800

Calif. Condo/Townhome

26

31

38

16

15

$640,000

$4,030

$161,200

United States

38

41

54

31

24

$394,100

$2,480

$99,200

San Francisco Bay Area

Alameda

19

21

25

10

7

$1,225,000

$7,710

$308,400

Contra Costa

25

29

35

15

11

$850,000

$5,350

$214,000

San Francisco

21

26

18

17

6

$1,562,500

$9,830

$393,200

San Mateo

17

19

20

10

8

$1,960,000

$12,330

$493,200

Santa Clara

20

21

25

8

9

$1,765,000

$11,110

$444,400

Solano

27

30

39

18

22

$586,000

$3,690

$147,600

Southern California

Los Angeles

14

22

18

7

8

$833,380

$5,240

$209,600

Orange

13

16

15

7

7

$1,260,000

$7,930

$317,200

Riverside

23

26

30

18

20

$612,000

$3,850

$154,000

San Bernardino

31

34

41

27

23

$475,000

$2,990

$119,600

San Diego

14

16

21

8

6

$931,200

$5,860

$234,400

Central Valley

Fresno

33

43

39

26

20

$410,000

$2,580

$103,200

Kern

34

39

55

29

29

$379,000

$2,380

$95,200

Sacramento

28

30

34

23

21

$527,086

$3,320

$132,800

San Joaquin

29

32

38

21

24

$535,000

$3,370

$134,800

Stanislaus

19

24

19

14

15

$460,000

$2,890

$115,600

* Assumes 20 percent downpayment

2023 California housing affordability by ethnicity report (2024)

FAQs

2023 California housing affordability by ethnicity report? ›

At the same time, housing affordability for White/non-Hispanic households fell from 25 percent in 2022 to 21 percent in 2023. Nine percent of Black and Hispanic/Latino households could afford the same median-priced home in 2023, down from 11 percent for both ethnic groups.

Why is there a lack of affordable housing in California? ›

Causes. The imbalance between supply and demand resulted from strong economic growth creating hundreds of thousands of new jobs (which increases demand for housing) and the insufficient construction of new housing units to provide enough supply to meet the demand.

What is the affordability of a house in California? ›

Affordability depends on both the costs of the housing, as well as the income and/or wages of households. Annual household income needed to qualify for a mortgage on a mid-tier California home in March 2024 was about $235,000—over 2 times the median California household income in 2022 ($85,300).

How to solve the California housing crisis? ›

Exploring New Methods for Constructing and Producing Homes

One potential solution to rising construction costs is exploring industrialized construction methods, including modular construction, panelized construction and 3D printing.

How bad is California's housing crisis? ›

To put it another way, between 2010 and 2020, California's population grew by 6.1% while its housing supply rose by just 4.7%, increasing the already wide gap. Moreover, since 2020 the state has fallen about 50% short of the 180,000 new units the state says are needed each year.

How many people in California can't afford housing? ›

Only 15% of California households could afford to buy a home during the third quarter of 2023, according to new figures released by the California Association of Realtors. The new figures represent the lowest home affordability rate since 2007, a news release said.

Will houses ever be affordable again in California? ›

Low Inventory, High Demand: The supply of houses for sale in California has been consistently lagging behind buyer demand for quite some time. This imbalance is expected to continue in 2024, putting upward pressure on housing prices and preventing a significant drop.

What is the root cause of the housing crisis? ›

There were slightly more homes built last year – 1.45 million – but we have a long way to go after a decade of too little building, Zillow said. And Zillow said the housing deficit is the root cause of the housing affordability “crisis.”

Is homelessness in California increasing? ›

California's homeless population may have increased as much as 7.5% between 2022 and 2023.

Which state has the biggest housing crisis? ›

Home values and rents in California are among the most expensive in the nation, and the state has one of the highest rates of homelessness. Californians are increasingly concerned about these issues, with more than a third saying they've considered leaving the state due to housing costs.

Why are rents so high in California? ›

Higher interest rates mean significantly larger monthly mortgage payments for landlords, a financial pressure that often finds its way to tenants in the form of higher rents. Property owners, facing tighter margins, have little choice but to adjust rental prices upwards to maintain their investments' viability.

Why is California so expensive for housing? ›

Logan Mohtashami, lead analyst for HousingWire, a trade publication for mortgage, real estate, and housing professionals told USA TODAY that California has been ineffective in lowering the cost of living because not enough homes are being built. That means there is more demand for homes than supply.

What causes a shortage of affordable housing? ›

Land use and zoning policies that exclude affordable housing and create racial, economic, and housing segregation; High costs of living, inadequate wages, and wealth and income inequality; A safety net that does not provide sufficient housing or supportive services.

Why is California housing so high? ›

Logan Mohtashami, lead analyst for HousingWire, a trade publication for mortgage, real estate, and housing professionals told USA TODAY that California has been ineffective in lowering the cost of living because not enough homes are being built. That means there is more demand for homes than supply.

What is the main cause of homelessness in California? ›

Study: Lack of affordable housing leading cause of homelessness in California. The cost of housing in California is a leading cause to homelessness statewide, according to a study from the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF).

When did the housing crisis in California start? ›

In 1970, when the California Dream was still in reach for many, more than half of households (55%) owned their own homes. Among those who rented, two-thirds lived in affordable homes. This environment of widespread housing affordability began to change during the 1970s.

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